: Ethiopia attracts $53.5M in Q1 investments, creating 8,700 jobs. Growth driven
by reforms, with a focus on service and manufacturing sectors.

The Addis Ababa Investment Commission (AAIC) announced a promising start to the
2023/24 fiscal year, with 612 investors registering a combined capital of Birr 2.93 billion
($53.5 million) in the first quarter.

This reflects a 13% growth compared to the same period last year, signalling sustained
investor confidence despite economic challenges.

Speaking at a press briefing on November 30, AAIC’s Director of Communication,
Meseret Woldemariam, credited the growth to policy reforms and enhanced investor
facilitation.

“Our efforts to streamline investment processes and resolve bottlenecks are yielding
results. We remain committed to ensuring investors thrive in Addis Ababa,” she said.

SECTORIAL CONTRIBUTIONS

The majority of the newly licensed investors are in the service and manufacturing
sectors. The service sector includes hotels, tourism, and IT ventures, while the manufacturing
investments span electrical products, steel, wood, and textiles.

These investments have generated 8,707 jobs, comprising 770 permanent and 490
temporary positions created by newly licensed entities.

The AAIC has also initiated field monitoring visits to ensure operational readiness. “Our
team works closely with new investors to address challenges promptly, enabling faster
project rollout,” Meseret added.

CHALLENGES AND REFORMS

Investors continue to face hurdles such as foreign currency shortages and workspace
availability. However, the commission highlighted progress due to macroeconomic reforms,
particularly improving foreign currency access.

“We are actively collaborating with the Mayor’s office to address workspace issues
through professional support in rental solutions and operational guidance,” Meseret
explained.

Recent reforms in the National Bank of Ethiopia’s foreign exchange policy have also
been pivotal. In October, the central bank announced a 30% increase in forex allocation to priority sectors, a move welcomed by stakeholders.

EXPANSION PLANS AND PROJECTIONS

The AAIC aims to capitalise on the momentum, targeting Birr 15 billion ($274 million) in
investments by the end of the fiscal year. A new digital investment portal, launched in November, promises to reduce registration times by 40% and improve transparency.

“We are confident these initiatives will not only attract more investors but also deepen
the trust of existing ones,” Meseret concluded.

INVESTOR SENTIMENT

Prominent business leader Ahmed Yusuf, who recently launched a $3 million IT hub in
Addis Ababa, praised the commission’s efforts.

“The improvements in investor services and forex allocation are encouraging. We hope
to see more streamlined processes for licensing and operations,” he remarked.

As Ethiopia seeks to position itself as a regional investment hub, sustained efforts in
addressing investor concerns and enhancing infrastructure will be critical.

: Ethiopia’s December IMF review may unlock long-awaited debt restructuring,
crucial for economic reforms and stalled projects like the Koysha Hydroelectric
Dam.

Ethiopia’s much-anticipated debt restructuring prospects could gain clarity this
December, as the country awaits the second review under its four-year International
Monetary Fund (IMF) program.

The Extended Credit Facility (ECF), launched in August 2023, remains central to
Ethiopia’s economic reform and debt relief efforts.

Progress Toward Debt Treatment

Last week, Ethiopian authorities reached a staff-level agreement with the IMF tied to the
second review. A comprehensive report on this review is set for release in December, a month many stakeholders, including the National Bank of Ethiopia (NBE), view as pivotal for
advancing debt treatment plans.

“Debt restructuring stands at the centre of our reform agenda. With the report’s release,
we expect rescheduling talks to gain momentum,” said Habtamu Workneh, Director of
External Economic Analysis & International Relations at the NBE.

He added that discussions are focusing primarily on extending maturity dates for Ethiopia’s debts.

IMF Support and Engagements with Creditors

The IMF has provided Ethiopia with USD 2.5 billion under its current fiscal program,
offering critical support to the country’s macroeconomic stabilisation efforts.
In parallel, Ethiopian authorities have engaged with Eurobond holders and the Official
Creditors Committee (OCC).

A debt restructuring proposal was submitted to Eurobond holders in July 2024, following
key discussions in December 2023 and May 2024.

Additionally, a global investor update held on October 1, 2024, highlighted the nation’s
ongoing economic challenges and progress in creditor negotiations.

Shifting Debt Landscape

The government has reported improvements in its debt profile. Planning and Development Minister Fitsum Assefa (PhD) announced that Ethiopia had ceased relying on commercial loans and direct borrowing from the central bank.

She noted a significant drop in the external debt-to-GDP ratio to 13.7 per cent, though
the IMF’s Debt Sustainability Analysis, published in July 2024, pegged the ratio at 18
per cent as of June 2023.

External debt accounts for 45 per cent of Ethiopia’s total public and publicly guaranteed
debt, the report stated.

Financing Challenges Persist

Despite these reforms, Ethiopia’s financing challenges remain acute.
The government is seeking nearly USD 1 billion to complete the Koysha Hydroelectric
Dam project, which has stalled at two-thirds completion due to funding shortfalls.

The project is a critical component of Ethiopia’s development strategy, but its delays
underscore the broader fiscal pressures the country faces.

Expert Views on Economic Outlook

While Ethiopian officials are optimistic about the December review as a turning point,
analysts caution that real progress hinges on creditor consensus and the government’s
ability to implement reforms.

Critics have also raised concerns about inflated GDP growth figures, which they argue
may distort Ethiopia’s true debt sustainability.

Looking Ahead

The IMF review, coupled with Ethiopia’s active engagement with creditors, could mark a
a significant step forward in its quest for debt relief.

December will likely be a defining month for the country’s economic future, with broader
implications for its ability to attract investment and complete critical infrastructure
projects.

KCB Bank Kenya Limited

Total Assets: KSh 1.425 trillion
Market Share: 17.4%

Equity Bank Kenya Limited

Total Assets: KSh 1.004 trillion
Market Share: 12.2%

NCBA Bank Kenya PLC

Total Assets: KSh 661.7 billion
Market Share: 9.2%

Co-operative Bank of Kenya

Total Assets: KSh 624.3 billion
Market Share: 8.8%

Absa Bank Kenya PLC

Total Assets: KSh 520.3 billion
Market Share: 6.6%

Standard Chartered Bank Kenya

Total Assets: KSh 429.3 billion
Market Share: 5.9%

Stanbic Bank Kenya

Total Assets: KSh 449.6 billion
Market Share: 5.8%

I&M Bank Limited

Total Assets: KSh 405.6 billion
Market Share: 5.4%

Diamond Trust Bank Kenya

Total Assets: KSh 399.6 billion
Market Share: 5.3%

Bank of Baroda (Kenya) Limited

Total Assets: KSh 201.9 billion
Market Share: 2.8%

These rankings illustrate the dominance of large Tier 1 banks, which collectively control over
76% of the market share. Strategic expansions, increased deposit mobilisation, and robust
lending practices underpin the sector’s strong performance​